From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@datamann.com)
Date: Sun Apr 14 2002 - 10:41:18 MDT
Eugen Leitl wrote:
>
> On Sat, 13 Apr 2002, Extropian Agro Forestry Ventures Inc. wrote:
>
>
> > short term global warming might mean droughts and some environmental
> > instability but change always involves transition.
>
> I haven't seen the numbers for increased incidence of floodings and
> hurricanes yet, and it's something which needs a trend evaluation and be
> renormalized for increased amounts of people and infrastructure in the
> landscape, but here's something which could cost real money. Like, *lots*
> of real money.
I have seen the numbers. It turns out that there were twice as many
hurricanes (of all sizes) in the first half of the 20th century than in
the last half of the 20th century. Since those who push the 'global
warming' theory claim that more warming occured in the latter half, and
that the world was warmer in the latter half, then it logically follows
that a warmer world will have LESS in severe cyclonic storms (quantity
and severity).
THis is a rather logical premise, since most of the alleged warming is
occuring at the temperate and polar regions, not at the equator, so
therefore the thermal gradient from equator to pole is less severe. A
less severe thermal gradient will result in less frequent and less
severe cyclonic storm systems, lower overall wind and weather
velocities, etc.
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