From: Gina Miller (nanogirl@halcyon.com)
Date: Sun Mar 24 2002 - 18:05:54 MST
Try http://hanson.gmu.edu/ideafutures.html
home of Robin Hanson's idea futures site
includes links to Foresight Exchange and
more.
Gina~
> Hal Finney wrote:
> > I believe Drexler's Foresight Institute was running some kind of betting
> > pool about nanotech, but I couldn't find any information on their web
> > site. Does anyone have information on what kinds of dates it predicted?
> That market has been discontinued. It ran from Spring of '99 through last
> year.
> There were three questions based on whether the Feynman Grand Prize would
be
> won by 2010, 2015, and 2020 respectively. The prices rather stably
reflected
> a consensus it wouldn't be by 2010 (25 bid, 30 ask), but was likely by
2020
> (65/75), and no clear answer on 2015 (40/50).
> Chris
Gina "Nanogirl" Miller
Nanotechnology Industries
http://www.nanoindustries.com
Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com
Foresight Senior Associate
nanogirl@halcyon.com
"Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future."
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