Re: Insufficient science killed Asimov

From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@datamann.com)
Date: Fri Mar 08 2002 - 15:16:41 MST


Richard Steven Hack wrote:
>
> At 09:05 AM 3/8/02 -0600, you wrote:
>
> >HIV antibody tests are remarkably accurate. False positives and false
> >negatives are not rare enough to state that there is not a one-to-one
> >correlation. People with HIV get AIDS. People with AIDS have HIV. People
> >without HIV don't get AIDS. People without AIDS symptoms don't have HIV.
> >
> >Harvey Newstrom, CISSP <www.HarveyNewstrom.com>
> >Principal Security Consultant <www.Newstaff.com>
>
> Ah, I have not been following this in detail, but I believe there are some
> legitimate questions about your latter assertions.
>
> The people who question the HIV theory are saying that HIV ALONE is not the
> cause of AIDS. That includes by the way the fellow who DISCOVERED the HIV
> virus, if I recall my reading correctly.
>
> "People with HIV get AIDS" - 15% do not.

This is really irrelevant, since ALL diseases behave like this. If they
did not, then the human race would never evolve resistance to any
disease. Keep in mind that the 'HIV positive' means only that they test
positive for the HIV antibody, NOT the actual virus. The 15% represent
those who have successfully mounted a resistance to HIV, representing
those with either a genetic resistance or were only exposed to a small
number of the virus.

>
> "People with AIDS have HIV" - there is apparently some question whether
> AIDS is an actual disease or a syndrome of other diseases, many of which
> can occur due to other causes. The one specifically pursued by other
> researchers is HHV 6, which can cause all of the diseases in AIDS and for
> which, allegedly, hundreds of studies have been done world-wide, all of
> which is ignored by the HIV researchers.
>
> "People without HIV don't get AIDS" - see above.

There are now at least three variants to the HIV virus, and most
antibody tests only detect one. People who test negative with one test
do not necessarily not have HIV, they just don't have the specific
antibodies for the type the test detects.

>
> "People without AIDS symptoms don't have HIV" - see above (not to mention
> that this is rather obvious in the general sense.) Note however that
> people with HHV 6 can have AIDS - and MOST people have HHV 6 - the question
> is how are these ordinarily suppressed viruses triggered.

HHV is a virus which is normally suppressed by the human immune system.
When HIV compromises that immune system, this gives HHV the opening it
needs to do what it does. It is true that working to suppress the HHV is
a viable treatment for AIDS patients to treat AIDS related syndrome, but
does absolutely NOTHING to help boost the patients immune system.
>
> >One "fact" that confuses these people is that people can live so long with
> >HIV before getting AIDS. This does not mean they aren't affected.
>
> The point is statistical - apparently 15% of HIV infected persons NEVER
> get AIDS. (Or at least "never" being much longer than the statistical five
> year mortality.

As do a goodly percentage of those exposed to smallpox, cold, flu, and
many other viral diseases. This doesn't mean that smallpox virus doesn't
cause smallpox.



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