From: Harvey Newstrom (mail@HarveyNewstrom.com)
Date: Thu Aug 09 2001 - 18:40:13 MDT
Mike Lorrey wrote,
> Harvey Newstrom wrote:
> > Exit polls done by the media seem to match the actual computer counts in
> > most cases.
>
> And who does the exit polling? The media, which has a proven bias. The
> fact is that exit pollsters have to correct exit poll data because
> pollsters ALWAYS project more votes for democrats than what actually
> occurs.
You are absolutely right. But the margin is small. The fact that they
ALWAYS do it makes it totally consistent and repeatable, which is why they
are capable of correcting it as you noted above. Their may be bias in their
methods, but they do fairly correct the data to present more accurate
results.
This is common in statistics. A lot of sampling methods turn out to be
biased on way or the other. One theory for this particular bias is that
liberals are more likely to talk to liberal media, whereas conservatives are
less likely to trust or cooperate with the media.
-- Harvey Newstrom <http://HarveyNewstrom.com> <http://Newstaff.com>
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