From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Wed Aug 08 2001 - 17:19:04 MDT
Huberman has this amazing ability to get publicity for his research.
His formula for finding out what people know from what they say
is based on a calculation assuming strictly independent individual
signals. His experiment testing his formula then ensured that people
got independent signals. I doubt it will work nearly as well in other
information situations.
Anders Sandberg wrote:
> Chen, K.-Y., Fine, L. R. & Huberman, B. A.Forecasting uncertain events
> with small groups. To appear in the Proceedings of the Association for
> Computing Machinery conference on e-commerce, (October (2001).
>
> http://arxiv.org/ftp/cond-mat/papers/0108/0108028.pdf
>
> There is a synopsis at http://www.nature.com/nsu/010809/010809-9.html
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