Re: Risk vs. Payoff (was Re: Alcor on KRON)

From: Mikael Johansson (mikael.johansson@wineasy.se)
Date: Mon May 07 2001 - 13:55:02 MDT


> Jerry Mitchell wrote:
>
> >Risk/Payoff matrix? Is there anyway I could get a copy of that? ;)
Thanks!
>
> While I am not sure if this is the same one as what Spike has on his wall,
I
> do remember that we had something like the following on ExI's website some
> time ago. I believe it was Eric Watt Forste who originally created or
> adapted it:
>
>
> --------------------------------------
> | Not Signed Up | Signed Up |
> ------------------------------------------------------------------
> | | |
> If Cryonics Doesn't Work | You're Dead | You're Dead |
> | | |
> ------------------------------------------------------------------
> | | |
> If Cryonics Does Work | You're Dead | You're Not Dead |
> | | |
> ------------------------------------------------------------------

Looks rather equivalent to Pascal's wager --- only in this context, it
actually holds :-)

// Mikael Johansson



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