Re: Breaking News: World is 10 deg chillier

From: Ross A. Finlayson (raf@tiki-lounge.com)
Date: Wed Jan 24 2001 - 08:03:55 MST


Anders Sandberg wrote:

> Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de writes:
>
> > Anders Sandberg wrote:
> >
> > > From my perspective up here in Sweden global warming might be a good
> > > thing. The autumns may become rainier and even more depressing if the
> > > models are right, but that will likely be made up by a better spring
> > > (which has a higher value for me personally). On the other hand,
> >
> > Do the models involve a deflected Golfstream?
>

It might be better or worse. For example, if the icecaps melted, Denmark
would be underwater.

>
> Yes. Apparently the models predict a slightly weaker and more
> deflected gulfstream, but that it is counteracted by local warming
> here. The British isles may not be as happy.
>
> Of course, the big problem here is the uncertainties in oceanic
> currents and of course in the models. What we really need is an
> understanding of where the bifurcation points are, so we can tell if
> we are near any of them and must be very careful in modifying
> parameters, or if we are in a fairly regular part of parameter
> space. Once we have some estimates of that, chosing a strategy becomes
> less risky.
>
> --
> -----------------------------------------------------------------------
> Anders Sandberg Towards Ascension!
> asa@nada.kth.se http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa/
> GCS/M/S/O d++ -p+ c++++ !l u+ e++ m++ s+/+ n--- h+/* f+ g+ w++ t+ r+ !y

If the world's temperature was different compared to millions of years ago,
and now it is much warmer in fifty years, which is less than 1/100 of 1
percent of the time, is that not a cause for concern?

Global warming is a cause for concern. Petrochemical fuel emissions should
be cut 95%. There are largescale industrial processes, most with caps on
their smokestacks.

Ross

Ross

--
Ross Andrew Finlayson
Finlayson Consulting
Ross at Tiki-Lounge: http://www.tiki-lounge.com/~raf/
"The best mathematician in the world is Maplev in Ontario."  - Pertti L.


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