From: Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de
Date: Mon Jan 15 2001 - 02:06:22 MST
Damien Broderick wrote:
> wait for the techno-Rapture. They have a classic case of what Paul Saffo
> calls *macro-myopia*: "we overexpect dramatic developments early, and
> underexpect them in the longer term".'
"Yeah, sure, we're better than them yokels, because we don't "underexpect" them
in the longer term, even though we *never* say what exactly we expect in the
longer term. Haha! Nice trick, eh? Thought so.
Whereas these dumb extropian hillbillies talk about the "predictability
horizont", where the level of tech gets so ridiculously high that nothing
at all can be said about it either that it is still contrained by physical
laws -- and not necessarily as we know it, today. Now that, gentlemen, is
a clear sign of a lack of imagination."
Duh. I wonder who stuck a "Kick me" sticker to our collective backs.
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